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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 1, 2026

#30
rank
-11.0
rating (points, neutral field)
22-60
record (2025)
+1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Sacramento ranks dead last at 30 with a neutral-field rating of -10.99 points, meaning they'd be roughly 11-point underdogs to an average team, and their 0-3 record confirms the model isn't being harsh. The rating has barely budged from last season's -10.903, so this is a stable bad team rather than a small-sample fluke, and the +1.02 vs-market figure suggests the number is already priced close to fair. With a soft 0.82 strength of schedule and no key absences to blame, there's no buy-low case here โ€” fade Sacramento as a favorite and treat any short spread as a gift.

Rating over the 2025 season

-0.2 pts-13.1 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20251#191-2-2.0โ€”-1.5โ€”
20252#182-5-0.2โ€”+4.0+1.8
20253#233-7-4.1โ€”-0.8-3.8
20254#253-11-6.6โ€”-2.7-2.6
20255#245-13-7.0โ€”-2.2-0.4
20256#275-16-8.0โ€”-2.6-0.9
20257#266-18-7.3โ€”-1.1+0.7
20258#286-20-8.3โ€”-2.5-1.1
20259#287-22-7.2โ€”-0.9+1.2
202510#298-24-9.0-1.3-2.8-1.9
202511#308-28-10.7โ€”-3.4-1.7
202512#3010-30-11.1-1.4-3.3-0.4
202513#2912-31-9.5-1.4-1.4+1.6
202514#2912-35-8.5โ€”-1.0+1.0
202515#3012-39-9.8-1.3-1.6-1.3
202516#2912-43-9.7-0.9-0.6+0.0
202517#2912-44-10.1-0.4-1.2-0.4
202518#3013-46-10.7-0.6-1.6-0.6
202519#2914-48-11.1-0.5-1.1-0.4
202520#2915-50-10.5-0.5-0.0+0.6
202521#2818-51-10.5-1.8+0.6+0.1
202522#3019-54-13.1-2.7-1.9-2.6
202523#2919-57-12.4-2.0-1.0+0.7
202524#2621-58-11.0-1.1+1.4+1.3
202525#2622-60-10.9-1.4+2.4+0.1