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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 1, 2026
#9
rank
+5.3
rating (points, neutral field)
42-40
record (2025)
-2.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Portland grades 9th at +5.3 points better than average on a neutral floor, a massive jump from a -0.13 prior-season rating, so this is a real buy signal rather than noise. But that rating has come against a schedule 7.0 points softer than average, and the market is already 2.4 points ahead of the number, meaning the spread is pricing in more than the underlying data supports. Treat the hot 2-0 start as inflated by weak competition and look to sell Portland laying points until the schedule stiffens.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #10 | 2-2 | +3.4 | -0.3 | +6.8 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #10 | 4-3 | +3.3 | โ | +3.1 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 3 | #9 | 5-5 | +3.3 | -0.1 | +1.6 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #19 | 6-7 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -3.4 |
| 2025 | 5 | #19 | 8-10 | -2.9 | -2.7 | -2.5 | -2.7 |
| 2025 | 6 | #18 | 8-12 | -1.8 | -1.1 | -1.4 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 7 | #21 | 9-15 | -3.5 | -2.5 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 8 | #21 | 10-16 | -4.2 | -2.2 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 9 | #20 | 12-17 | -3.5 | -1.4 | -2.2 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 10 | #23 | 14-19 | -4.3 | -1.6 | -2.6 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 11 | #22 | 17-20 | -3.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 12 | #21 | 19-21 | -2.9 | -1.3 | -0.6 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 13 | #21 | 22-22 | -2.9 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 14 | #21 | 23-24 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -0.0 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | #22 | 23-27 | -4.2 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | #20 | 26-28 | -3.3 | -2.4 | -0.6 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | #21 | 27-29 | -3.5 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 18 | #22 | 28-30 | -3.6 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | #24 | 29-33 | -6.1 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | #21 | 31-34 | -4.6 | -2.0 | -3.1 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 21 | #21 | 33-36 | -4.5 | -2.5 | -3.5 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | #20 | 36-37 | -3.1 | -2.2 | -2.8 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | #19 | 38-38 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -2.1 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | #19 | 40-39 | -1.1 | -1.9 | -1.2 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | #16 | 42-40 | -0.1 | -1.4 | -0.1 | +1.0 |