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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 1, 2026
#21
rank
-3.5
rating (points, neutral field)
43-39
record (2025)
-5.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Miami sits at 21st with a minus-3.47 neutral-field rating, down from minus-1.43 a year ago, and that decline has come against the fourth-toughest schedule in the league, so the 0-4 start is not purely a mirage. The market is already pricing the Heat 5.85 points worse than this rating implies, which flags them as a live buy-low if the schedule softens. No key players are listed as unavailable, so there is no injury dock inflating the number โ the rating is clean.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #9 | 2-1 | +3.6 | -1.0 | +8.5 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #4 | 4-3 | +4.8 | -0.6 | +8.8 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 3 | #5 | 7-4 | +5.7 | โ | +9.9 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #8 | 8-6 | +4.0 | โ | +5.9 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 5 | #9 | 12-6 | +3.6 | -2.6 | +3.6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 6 | #6 | 14-7 | +4.5 | -1.3 | +3.0 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 7 | #14 | 14-11 | +0.9 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -3.6 |
| 2025 | 8 | #11 | 14-12 | +1.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 9 | #13 | 15-14 | -0.2 | -2.1 | -1.1 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 10 | #12 | 18-15 | +0.5 | -2.6 | -0.2 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 11 | #10 | 20-16 | +1.8 | -1.7 | +1.3 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 12 | #17 | 20-19 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -1.4 | -2.7 |
| 2025 | 13 | #16 | 22-21 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 14 | #15 | 25-22 | -0.2 | -2.0 | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | #15 | 27-24 | -0.1 | -2.2 | -0.4 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | #15 | 28-27 | -0.9 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 17 | #15 | 29-27 | +0.7 | -1.3 | +0.8 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | #10 | 31-27 | +1.9 | -1.4 | +1.4 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | #13 | 32-29 | +1.3 | -1.4 | +0.8 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | #16 | 36-29 | +1.0 | -3.3 | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 21 | #17 | 38-31 | +0.1 | -2.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | #17 | 38-34 | -0.7 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | #16 | 40-36 | +0.3 | -1.1 | -0.3 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | #15 | 41-37 | +1.1 | โ | +0.3 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | #19 | 43-39 | -1.4 | -2.7 | -2.2 | -2.5 |