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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 1, 2026
#3
rank
+9.6
rating (points, neutral field)
52-30
record (2025)
+6.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Houston grades out as a legitimate top-three team at 9.637 points better than average on a neutral field, a massive jump from last year's 4.626 prior rating, and they've backed it up at 4-0 against a schedule that's no cakewalk (5.334 SOS). The market is still catching up, with a 6.21-point gap between their rating and the number, so this is a clear buy โ their rating implies they should be laying roughly 9.5 to an average opponent, meaning any spread near a touchdown or less is value. No key players are docked for injury (0.0), so the rating is clean.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #8 | 1-2 | +5.0 | โ | -0.8 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #3 | 4-2 | +8.2 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +3.2 |
| 2025 | 3 | #3 | 6-3 | +9.3 | โ | -0.6 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #3 | 9-3 | +9.6 | โ | -0.5 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 5 | #2 | 11-4 | +11.5 | โ | +2.4 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 6 | #2 | 13-5 | +10.0 | -0.5 | +1.6 | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 7 | #2 | 15-6 | +9.7 | -0.3 | +1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 8 | #2 | 16-7 | +8.9 | โ | +0.3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 9 | #2 | 17-9 | +7.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 10 | #2 | 20-10 | +7.4 | โ | +0.1 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 11 | #4 | 22-11 | +5.9 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 12 | #3 | 22-14 | +4.6 | โ | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 13 | #6 | 25-15 | +4.2 | โ | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 14 | #5 | 28-16 | +4.2 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | #7 | 31-17 | +4.0 | โ | -2.5 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | #8 | 32-19 | +3.0 | -0.3 | -3.1 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | #8 | 33-20 | +3.2 | โ | -3.7 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 18 | #7 | 35-21 | +3.6 | โ | -3.1 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 19 | #9 | 38-22 | +2.5 | -1.2 | -4.5 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | #8 | 39-24 | +3.0 | โ | -4.1 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 21 | #16 | 41-26 | +0.4 | -1.5 | -5.4 | -2.6 |
| 2025 | 22 | #13 | 43-28 | +1.9 | โ | -3.9 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | #12 | 45-29 | +3.0 | โ | -3.1 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | #10 | 49-29 | +3.9 | โ | -2.9 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | #7 | 52-30 | +4.6 | โ | -1.4 | +0.8 |