4.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#15
rank
-0.7
rating (points, neutral field)
2-5
record (2026)
+3.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Tampa Bay sits at 15th with a -0.659 neutral-field rating, but that's a massive 10.1-point jump from last week and 3.8 points better than the market, so the number-crunchers are clearly buying what the last five games showed: 23.2 points scored, 19.0 allowed, and a positive 0.106 EPA per play. The catch is a 4.7-point injury dock with Mayfield questionable and Egbuka and Winfield already out, which is why I'd treat this as a buy-low on the rating rather than a team to back at any price until the QB picture clears.
Unavailable this week(-4.7 pts of rating)
- Baker Mayfield · QB · Questionable-2.1
- Emeka Egbuka · WR · Out-2.0
- Antoine Winfield · S · Out-0.5
- Christian Rozeboom · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #22 | 0-1 | -4.4 | -0.8 | -1.8 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #23 | 0-2 | -5.3 | -0.8 | -7.8 | -0.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #22 | 0-3 | -4.5 | -1.0 | -2.7 | +0.8 |
| 2026 | 4 | #31 | 0-4 | -12.8 | -8.1 | -9.5 | -8.2 |
| 2026 | 5 | #28 | 1-4 | -10.1 | -8.3 | -3.7 | +2.7 |
| 2026 | 6 | #28 | 1-5 | -10.8 | -8.9 | -3.9 | -0.7 |
| 2026 | 7 | #15 | 2-5 | -0.7 | -4.7 | +3.8 | +10.1 |