0.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
The Jets sit at -5.4 rating points on a neutral field, a big jump from last year's -14.4 and up another 0.8 this week, so the underlying model likes them far more than their 2-5 record suggests. At 19.4 points scored against 24.0 allowed over the last five with a -0.036 EPA differential, they're losing small rather than getting blown out, and being 2.0 points better than the market makes them a quiet buy in the right matchup. The caveat is that -5.4 rating means they should be underdogs against a league-average opponent, so back them as a road dog catching points, not as a favorite, especially with Breece Hall questionable and Ossai and Mauigoa already out.
Unavailable this week(-0.9 pts of rating)
- Joseph Ossai · DE · Out-0.4
- Francisco Mauigoa · LB · Out-0.3
- Breece Hall · RB · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #31 | 1-0 | -13.2 | -1.3 | -14.3 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #31 | 1-1 | -11.3 | -1.9 | -3.2 | +1.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #31 | 1-2 | -11.4 | -1.9 | -3.1 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 4 | #30 | 1-3 | -11.3 | -3.5 | -4.0 | +0.1 |
| 2026 | 5 | #25 | 2-3 | -7.8 | -2.6 | +0.3 | +3.5 |
| 2026 | 6 | #22 | 2-4 | -6.2 | -3.0 | +2.9 | +1.6 |
| 2026 | 7 | #21 | 2-5 | -5.4 | -0.9 | +2.0 | +0.8 |