1.4
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#4
rank
+4.0
rating (points, neutral field)
4-3
record (2026)
+4.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
New England's rating has slid 1.46 points in a week to 4.0, and the underlying numbers explain why: a -0.0035 EPA differential per play and a defense allowing 25.4 points over the last five don't support a top-five ranking. With Carlton Davis out and Byard and Elliss questionable, this secondary is thin, so I'm selling the Patriots at a market rating 4.39 points above their neutral-field number.
Unavailable this week(-1.4 pts of rating)
- Carlton Davis · CB · Out-0.5
- Christian Elliss · LB · Questionable-0.3
- Kevin Byard · S · Questionable-0.2
- Christian Gonzalez · CB · Questionable-0.2
- Craig Woodson · S · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #5 | 0-1 | +7.6 | -1.5 | +10.2 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #2 | 1-1 | +10.5 | -0.4 | +9.2 | +2.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #6 | 1-2 | +4.4 | -0.7 | +4.2 | -6.2 |
| 2026 | 4 | #8 | 2-2 | +2.3 | -2.1 | +3.4 | -2.1 |
| 2026 | 5 | #7 | 3-2 | +3.7 | -4.8 | +5.2 | +1.4 |
| 2026 | 6 | #3 | 4-2 | +5.5 | -1.7 | +5.9 | +1.8 |
| 2026 | 7 | #4 | 4-3 | +4.0 | -1.4 | +4.4 | -1.5 |
