1.4

1.4

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#4
rank
+4.0
rating (points, neutral field)
4-3
record (2026)
+4.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

New England's rating has slid 1.46 points in a week to 4.0, and the underlying numbers explain why: a -0.0035 EPA differential per play and a defense allowing 25.4 points over the last five don't support a top-five ranking. With Carlton Davis out and Byard and Elliss questionable, this secondary is thin, so I'm selling the Patriots at a market rating 4.39 points above their neutral-field number.

Unavailable this week(-1.4 pts of rating)

  • Carlton Davis · CB · Out-0.5
  • Christian Elliss · LB · Questionable-0.3
  • Kevin Byard · S · Questionable-0.2
  • Christian Gonzalez · CB · Questionable-0.2
  • Craig Woodson · S · Questionable-0.2

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2026 season

10.5 pts2.3 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20261#50-1+7.6-1.5+10.2—
20262#21-1+10.5-0.4+9.2+2.9
20263#61-2+4.4-0.7+4.2-6.2
20264#82-2+2.3-2.1+3.4-2.1
20265#73-2+3.7-4.8+5.2+1.4
20266#34-2+5.5-1.7+5.9+1.8
20267#44-3+4.0-1.4+4.4-1.5