0.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#23
rank
-5.7
rating (points, neutral field)
3-4
record (2026)
+0.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Las Vegas grades out at -5.744 points versus an average team on a neutral field, 23rd in the league, and that rating is sliding fast — down 1.291 this week after a last-five stretch of 26.0 points scored against 34.0 allowed and a -0.1383 EPA differential per play. The offense is scoring enough to keep games interesting but the defense is bleeding points, and with Dont'e Thornton out and a 0.9-point injury dock already baked in, this is a sell — the market's 0.92 vs. spread means you're not even getting a discount on a team whose true number is closer to a touchdown underdog than a field-goal one.
Unavailable this week(-0.9 pts of rating)
- Dont'e Thornton · WR · Out-0.5
- Jaquavian Walker · LB · Questionable-0.2
- Michael Washington · RB · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #29 | 1-0 | -9.2 | -1.2 | -8.9 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #24 | 2-0 | -5.5 | -1.1 | +0.7 | +3.7 |
| 2026 | 3 | #15 | 3-0 | -2.5 | -1.4 | +6.0 | +3.0 |
| 2026 | 4 | #15 | 3-1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | +8.4 | +1.8 |
| 2026 | 5 | #21 | 3-2 | -5.9 | -2.1 | +3.1 | -5.3 |
| 2026 | 6 | #19 | 3-3 | -4.5 | -1.6 | +4.3 | +1.5 |
| 2026 | 7 | #23 | 3-4 | -5.7 | -0.9 | +0.9 | -1.3 |