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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#10
rank
+1.4
rating (points, neutral field)
5-2
record (2026)
-0.1
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Denver grades out at +1.43 points over an average team on a neutral field, up 0.31 this week, but that's a sharp step down from a 3.04 prior-season rating and the profile is more solid than scary: 22.8 points scored against 19.4 allowed over the last five with a thin 0.051 EPA edge per play. The market is basically in agreement at -0.05 versus my number, so there's no edge here — this is a hold, not a buy, and the 1.0-point injury dock with Patrick Surtain questionable and Talanoa Hufanga out means I'd only lean Denver at a full field goal or more against average competition.
Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)
- Talanoa Hufanga · S · Out-0.5
- Tyler Badie · RB · Out-0.2
- Patrick Surtain · CB · Questionable-0.1
- Jonah Elliss · LB · Out-0.1
- Jonah Coleman · RB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #14 | 0-1 | -0.3 | — | +0.5 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #11 | 1-1 | +0.9 | -1.0 | +1.0 | +1.3 |
| 2026 | 3 | #7 | 2-1 | +4.3 | -0.7 | +4.9 | +3.4 |
| 2026 | 4 | #6 | 2-2 | +3.8 | -0.2 | +3.4 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 5 | #11 | 3-2 | +0.8 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -3.0 |
| 2026 | 6 | #11 | 4-2 | +1.1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | +0.3 |
| 2026 | 7 | #10 | 5-2 | +1.4 | -1.0 | -0.1 | +0.3 |