1.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
Cincinnati grades out as the No. 3 team in the league at 5.33 points better than average on a neutral field, a massive 2.35-point jump from last week, and the underlying form backs it up with a plus-0.16 EPA differential per play and a 7.0 point differential over the last five. The 4-2 record and 26.0 points per game over that stretch came against a schedule 1.5 points tougher than average, so this rating is legitimate rather than a soft-schedule artifact. The market sits at just 1.18 points above this number, meaning the spread is still catching up to a team that's a clear buy, though the 1.5-point injury dock for three unavailable defensive tackles is worth monitoring before laying the full rating.
Unavailable this week(-1.5 pts of rating)
- Jonathan Allen · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Dexter Lawrence · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Bobby Hill · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.3
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #17 | 1-0 | -1.9 | -1.5 | -2.6 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #14 | 2-0 | -0.3 | -3.2 | +0.1 | +1.7 |
| 2026 | 3 | #12 | 2-1 | +0.3 | -1.4 | -1.8 | +0.6 |
| 2026 | 4 | #10 | 2-2 | +1.6 | -1.4 | -0.2 | +1.2 |
| 2026 | 5 | #10 | 3-2 | +0.9 | -2.2 | -1.7 | -0.7 |
| 2026 | 6 | #8 | 3-2 | +3.0 | — | +1.0 | +2.1 |
| 2026 | 7 | #3 | 4-2 | +5.3 | -1.5 | +1.2 | +2.3 |