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Earl's NBA power ranking · Week 1, 2026

Washington sits at 27th with a -10.14 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly a 10-point underdog to an average team, and the market is even harsher at -4.34 versus the rating, so the public is already pricing them below where the numbers put them. The real story is the jump from a -15.22 prior-season rating to -10.14, a meaningful improvement despite a soft -4.36 schedule, which makes them a quiet buy-low on the spread rather than a team to fade further.