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Earl's NBA power ranking · Week 1, 2026

Sacramento ranks dead last at 30 with a neutral-field rating of -10.99 points, meaning they'd be roughly 11-point underdogs to an average team, and their 0-3 record confirms the model isn't being harsh. The rating has barely budged from last season's -10.903, so this is a stable bad team rather than a small-sample fluke, and the +1.02 vs-market figure suggests the number is already priced close to fair. With a soft 0.82 strength of schedule and no key absences to blame, there's no buy-low case here — fade Sacramento as a favorite and treat any short spread as a gift.