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Earl's NBA power ranking · Week 1, 2026

Miami sits at 21st with a minus-3.47 neutral-field rating, down from minus-1.43 a year ago, and that decline has come against the fourth-toughest schedule in the league, so the 0-4 start is not purely a mirage. The market is already pricing the Heat 5.85 points worse than this rating implies, which flags them as a live buy-low if the schedule softens. No key players are listed as unavailable, so there is no injury dock inflating the number — the rating is clean.