4.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#15
rank
-0.7
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2025)
+3.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Tampa Bay sits at 15th with a -0.659 neutral-field rating, but that's a massive 10.1-point jump from last week and 3.8 points better than the market, so the number-crunchers are clearly buying what the last five games showed: 23.2 points scored, 19.0 allowed, and a positive 0.106 EPA per play. The catch is a 4.7-point injury dock with Mayfield questionable and Egbuka and Winfield already out, which is why I'd treat this as a buy-low on the rating rather than a team to back at any price until the QB picture clears.
Unavailable this week(-4.7 pts of rating)
- Baker Mayfield · QB · Questionable-2.1
- Emeka Egbuka · WR · Out-2.0
- Antoine Winfield · S · Out-0.5
- Christian Rozeboom · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #27 | 1-0 | -1.7 | -2.5 | -1.8 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #13 | 2-0 | +0.1 | -1.5 | +0.8 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 3 | #17 | 3-0 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -2.3 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #25 | 3-1 | -6.0 | -5.4 | -5.6 | -4.2 |
| 2025 | 5 | #16 | 4-1 | -2.0 | -4.4 | -1.4 | +4.0 |
| 2025 | 6 | #14 | 5-1 | -1.0 | -4.8 | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | #13 | 5-2 | -0.6 | -3.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 8 | #12 | 6-2 | +0.6 | -3.7 | +2.1 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 9 | #6 | 6-2 | +4.3 | — | +5.3 | +3.7 |
| 2025 | 10 | #11 | 6-3 | +1.1 | -2.5 | +2.2 | -3.2 |
| 2025 | 11 | #9 | 6-4 | +0.7 | -1.6 | +2.7 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 12 | #17 | 6-5 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | #19 | 7-5 | -3.5 | -3.6 | -2.8 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 14 | #20 | 7-6 | -3.4 | -2.0 | -2.7 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | #22 | 7-7 | -5.1 | -2.7 | -4.7 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 16 | #17 | 7-8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | -2.1 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | #16 | 7-9 | -4.1 | -1.2 | -3.2 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | #19 | 8-9 | -4.8 | -1.8 | -3.5 | -0.7 |