0.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
The Jets sit at -5.4 rating points on a neutral field, a big jump from last year's -14.4 and up another 0.8 this week, so the underlying model likes them far more than their 2-5 record suggests. At 19.4 points scored against 24.0 allowed over the last five with a -0.036 EPA differential, they're losing small rather than getting blown out, and being 2.0 points better than the market makes them a quiet buy in the right matchup. The caveat is that -5.4 rating means they should be underdogs against a league-average opponent, so back them as a road dog catching points, not as a favorite, especially with Breece Hall questionable and Ossai and Mauigoa already out.
Unavailable this week(-0.9 pts of rating)
- Joseph Ossai · DE · Out-0.4
- Francisco Mauigoa · LB · Out-0.3
- Breece Hall · RB · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #24 | 0-1 | -1.4 | — | +0.5 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #30 | 0-2 | -6.7 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -5.3 |
| 2025 | 3 | #32 | 0-3 | -11.7 | -6.9 | -4.6 | -4.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #27 | 0-4 | -7.2 | -1.5 | -0.5 | +4.5 |
| 2025 | 5 | #28 | 0-5 | -9.1 | -0.9 | -2.3 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 6 | #29 | 0-6 | -8.1 | -1.0 | -0.6 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | #30 | 0-7 | -10.3 | -1.7 | -3.0 | -2.2 |
| 2025 | 8 | #32 | 1-7 | -15.6 | -8.0 | -4.6 | -5.3 |
| 2025 | 9 | #26 | 1-7 | -7.3 | — | +2.8 | +8.3 |
| 2025 | 10 | #27 | 2-7 | -7.8 | -0.8 | +2.6 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 11 | #27 | 2-8 | -9.9 | -3.1 | +4.3 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 12 | #24 | 2-9 | -7.3 | -0.6 | +5.9 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | #25 | 3-9 | -7.2 | -1.2 | +5.5 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 14 | #32 | 3-10 | -18.1 | -8.9 | -4.4 | -10.9 |
| 2025 | 15 | #32 | 3-11 | -22.7 | -12.0 | -5.1 | -4.5 |
| 2025 | 16 | #32 | 3-12 | -17.9 | -5.4 | -1.4 | +4.8 |
| 2025 | 17 | #32 | 3-13 | -21.3 | -8.1 | -3.2 | -3.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #32 | 3-14 | -20.2 | -6.4 | -1.4 | +1.1 |