1.4

1.4

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#4
rank
+4.0
rating (points, neutral field)
14-3
record (2025)
+4.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

New England's rating has slid 1.46 points in a week to 4.0, and the underlying numbers explain why: a -0.0035 EPA differential per play and a defense allowing 25.4 points over the last five don't support a top-five ranking. With Carlton Davis out and Byard and Elliss questionable, this secondary is thin, so I'm selling the Patriots at a market rating 4.39 points above their neutral-field number.

Unavailable this week(-1.4 pts of rating)

  • Carlton Davis · CB · Out-0.5
  • Christian Elliss · LB · Questionable-0.3
  • Kevin Byard · S · Questionable-0.2
  • Christian Gonzalez · CB · Questionable-0.2
  • Craig Woodson · S · Questionable-0.2

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

5.4 pts-5.4 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#310-1-2.7-1.4-2.4—
20252#211-1-3.0-1.7-1.1-0.3
20253#251-2-5.4-1.4-1.4-2.4
20254#132-2+1.2-0.1+4.3+6.6
20255#123-2+1.3-1.0+5.4+0.1
20256#124-2+0.3-2.3+4.3-1.0
20257#95-2+2.4-1.0+4.7+2.1
20258#86-2+4.4-0.1+7.2+2.0
20259#117-2+1.6-1.5+3.7-2.8
202510#88-2+2.8-1.5+5.1+1.1
202511#89-2+1.0-3.2+2.3-1.8
202512#810-2+2.6-0.9+3.0+1.6
202513#711-2+4.5-0.5+4.2+1.9
202514#611-2+4.7—+4.3+0.2
202515#1011-3+2.5-0.7+2.8-2.1
202516#912-3+1.7-2.4+2.0-0.9
202517#813-3+0.8-6.1+0.4-0.8
202518#414-3+5.4-3.1+3.0+4.5