0.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#23
rank
-5.7
rating (points, neutral field)
3-14
record (2025)
+0.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Las Vegas grades out at -5.744 points versus an average team on a neutral field, 23rd in the league, and that rating is sliding fast — down 1.291 this week after a last-five stretch of 26.0 points scored against 34.0 allowed and a -0.1383 EPA differential per play. The offense is scoring enough to keep games interesting but the defense is bleeding points, and with Dont'e Thornton out and a 0.9-point injury dock already baked in, this is a sell — the market's 0.92 vs. spread means you're not even getting a discount on a team whose true number is closer to a touchdown underdog than a field-goal one.
Unavailable this week(-0.9 pts of rating)
- Dont'e Thornton · WR · Out-0.5
- Jaquavian Walker · LB · Questionable-0.2
- Michael Washington · RB · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #2 | 1-0 | +1.2 | — | +2.3 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #19 | 1-1 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +3.4 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 3 | #20 | 1-2 | -3.7 | -0.3 | +1.3 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 4 | #21 | 1-3 | -4.0 | -0.3 | +0.5 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 5 | #27 | 1-4 | -7.9 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -4.0 |
| 2025 | 6 | #27 | 2-4 | -7.2 | -1.2 | -1.9 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 7 | #31 | 2-5 | -10.6 | -1.5 | -3.1 | -3.4 |
| 2025 | 8 | #25 | 2-5 | -8.7 | — | +0.5 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 9 | #32 | 2-6 | -14.6 | -5.6 | -6.5 | -5.9 |
| 2025 | 10 | #31 | 2-7 | -12.8 | -6.0 | -4.7 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 11 | #30 | 2-8 | -14.3 | -5.6 | -3.8 | -1.4 |
| 2025 | 12 | #28 | 2-9 | -10.3 | — | -1.6 | +3.9 |
| 2025 | 13 | #30 | 2-10 | -12.3 | -1.1 | -3.6 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 14 | #30 | 2-11 | -13.3 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | #31 | 2-12 | -20.0 | -7.4 | -7.6 | -6.7 |
| 2025 | 16 | #29 | 2-13 | -10.3 | — | +2.7 | +9.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | #30 | 2-14 | -14.0 | -1.4 | +0.2 | -3.7 |
| 2025 | 18 | #31 | 3-14 | -18.9 | -7.7 | -4.5 | -4.9 |
