3.2

3.2

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#25
rank
-6.6
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2025)
-3.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

The Colts sit at -6.6 points vs. an average team on a neutral field, and that rating is falling fast (down 1.46 this week) with a 2-5 record and a -1.0 point differential over their last five. Losing Tyler Warren, Ahmad Gardner, and a limited DeForest Buckner is already baked into a 3.2-point injury dock, so this is a sell — the market still has them 3.2 points better than my number, which is real value fading them.

Unavailable this week(-3.2 pts of rating)

  • Tyler Warren · TE · Out-1.2
  • Ahmad Gardner · CB · Out-0.7
  • DeForest Buckner · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
  • Justin Walley · CB · Questionable-0.4
  • Bryce Boettcher · LB · Questionable-0.2
  • Christian Allen · LB · Out-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

8.7 pts-6.5 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#11-0+2.8-0.4+3.3—
20252#62-0+2.2-1.7+4.3-0.6
20253#13-0+5.1-1.4+6.6+3.0
20254#63-1+3.4-2.2+4.8-1.8
20255#14-1+7.7-2.5+7.3+4.4
20256#25-1+7.0-1.5+3.9-0.8
20257#66-1+4.9-3.8+3.2-2.0
20258#37-1+8.7-2.0+4.6+3.7
20259#47-2+6.4-2.1+2.2-2.2
202510#48-2+5.7-1.8+1.9-0.7
202511#38-2+7.0—+3.2+1.3
202512#38-3+7.0-0.3+4.3-0.0
202513#48-4+5.2-0.7+1.8-1.8
202514#78-5+3.2-1.0-0.8-2.0
202515#68-6+3.3-2.2+1.7+0.1
202516#208-7-5.9-8.7-5.3-9.1
202517#228-8-6.5-8.5-3.1-0.6
202518#218-9-6.1-7.9-1.6+0.4