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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#10
rank
+1.4
rating (points, neutral field)
14-3
record (2025)
-0.1
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Denver grades out at +1.43 points over an average team on a neutral field, up 0.31 this week, but that's a sharp step down from a 3.04 prior-season rating and the profile is more solid than scary: 22.8 points scored against 19.4 allowed over the last five with a thin 0.051 EPA edge per play. The market is basically in agreement at -0.05 versus my number, so there's no edge here — this is a hold, not a buy, and the 1.0-point injury dock with Patrick Surtain questionable and Talanoa Hufanga out means I'd only lean Denver at a full field goal or more against average competition.

Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)

  • Talanoa Hufanga · S · Out-0.5
  • Tyler Badie · RB · Out-0.2
  • Patrick Surtain · CB · Questionable-0.1
  • Jonah Elliss · LB · Out-0.1
  • Jonah Coleman · RB · Questionable-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

5.4 pts-1.1 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#221-0-1.1-1.7-2.5—
20252#101-1+0.6-0.9-1.9+1.7
20253#141-2+0.7-1.3-0.2+0.1
20254#72-2+3.2-0.4+0.1+2.5
20255#33-2+5.4-0.3+3.0+2.2
20256#64-2+3.5-0.3+0.0-1.9
20257#85-2+2.4-0.2-1.0-1.1
20258#76-2+5.3—+1.7+2.9
20259#107-2+3.7-2.1+1.2-1.6
202510#98-2+2.0-1.9-0.3-1.6
202511#109-2+0.7-3.5-0.5-1.4
202512#69-2+4.1—+3.4+3.4
202513#1010-2+2.5-0.4+0.4-1.6
202514#1211-2+0.5-1.0-3.1-2.1
202515#1212-2+1.7-0.7-1.5+1.2
202516#1112-3+0.7-0.4-0.9-0.9
202517#1013-3-0.3-1.5-4.4-1.0
202518#814-3+2.4-0.5-4.8+2.7