1.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
Cincinnati grades out as the No. 3 team in the league at 5.33 points better than average on a neutral field, a massive 2.35-point jump from last week, and the underlying form backs it up with a plus-0.16 EPA differential per play and a 7.0 point differential over the last five. The 4-2 record and 26.0 points per game over that stretch came against a schedule 1.5 points tougher than average, so this rating is legitimate rather than a soft-schedule artifact. The market sits at just 1.18 points above this number, meaning the spread is still catching up to a team that's a clear buy, though the 1.5-point injury dock for three unavailable defensive tackles is worth monitoring before laying the full rating.
Unavailable this week(-1.5 pts of rating)
- Jonathan Allen · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Dexter Lawrence · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Bobby Hill · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.3
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #10 | 1-0 | +0.1 | — | -0.8 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #12 | 2-0 | +0.3 | — | -1.3 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 3 | #29 | 2-1 | -7.3 | -0.6 | -6.7 | -7.5 |
| 2025 | 4 | #32 | 2-2 | -10.5 | -1.3 | -7.9 | -3.2 |
| 2025 | 5 | #30 | 2-3 | -9.7 | -0.1 | -3.1 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 6 | #31 | 2-4 | -10.6 | -1.1 | -2.0 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 7 | #28 | 3-4 | -9.1 | -1.4 | -1.1 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 8 | #27 | 3-5 | -9.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 9 | #31 | 3-6 | -13.5 | -4.4 | -5.1 | -3.8 |
| 2025 | 10 | #30 | 3-6 | -9.3 | — | -1.3 | +4.2 |
| 2025 | 11 | #32 | 3-7 | -17.3 | -6.5 | -7.3 | -8.0 |
| 2025 | 12 | #32 | 3-8 | -13.0 | -3.1 | -3.0 | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 13 | #26 | 4-8 | -7.5 | -1.7 | +1.7 | +5.5 |
| 2025 | 14 | #24 | 4-9 | -5.1 | -0.5 | +3.6 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 15 | #26 | 4-10 | -8.0 | -1.3 | +1.6 | -3.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | #23 | 5-10 | -6.7 | -3.3 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | #14 | 6-10 | -2.3 | -1.8 | +4.8 | +4.4 |
| 2025 | 18 | #16 | 6-11 | -2.8 | -1.3 | +3.6 | -0.5 |